Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.495688 4.075879 4.690886 5.388226 6.153847 6.965832 7.889050
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.579198 3.362580 4.253703 5.329069 6.578321 7.971195 9.628769
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.098436 3.027263 4.151314 5.579752 7.314938 9.324345 11.796537
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.654264 2.644851 3.918915 5.618275 7.766983 10.338365 13.591815
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.415383 2.477040 3.915351 5.911078 8.515428 11.711368 15.840492
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.208768 2.312005 3.882743 6.142774 9.176160 12.980860 17.985039
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.006765 2.114004 3.772415 6.245240 9.654617 14.019176 19.854650
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.804286 1.874322 3.567404 6.187416 9.899267 14.748184 21.335714
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.680420 1.740972 3.501008 6.310637 10.380371 15.783597 23.217324
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.575085 1.618455 3.433601 6.418639 10.832976 16.781603 25.059916
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.446856 1.421330 3.218875 6.282048 10.922899 17.284569 26.253355
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.340893 1.240779 3.006758 6.126772 10.968143 17.715657 27.347410
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.265584 1.109270 2.868206 6.082834 11.181309 18.393878 28.803780
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.200862 0.980870 2.717200 6.004295 11.334681 18.988375 30.155971
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.177647 0.958837 2.769249 6.269089 12.018288 20.344270 32.568469
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.140241 0.879370 2.694441 6.307275 12.348184 21.198685 34.301980
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.127265 0.875102 2.775540 6.622359 13.119323 22.700043 36.950515
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.111643 0.855322 2.820064 6.871887 13.790746 24.066020 39.426686
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.090754 0.805116 2.790272 6.982108 14.239080 25.111300 41.465356
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.066081 0.722016 2.672572 6.919440 14.401323 25.734690 42.914806
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.053433 0.685562 2.660016 7.052384 14.884510 26.838028 45.053550
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.042439 0.648696 2.640731 7.168898 15.340098 27.903501 47.146640
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.027247 0.566997 2.492806 7.021439 15.345327 28.288494 48.267726